生食三文鱼片副溶血性弧菌污染的定量风险评估研究
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R155.5

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Quantitative risk assessment of Vibrio parahaemolyticus in raw salmon slices
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    摘要:

    目的评估上海市生食三文鱼片副溶血性弧茵污染的风险。方法按WHO/FAO危害识别、危害特征描 述、暴露评估和风险特征描述4个步骤进行了副溶血性弧菌风险评估,危害识别、危害特征描述资料收集自公开发 表的科学文献、报告,暴露评估、风险特征描述应用了监测、膳食调查、生长模型,调整因子、Beta-Poisson剂量反应模 型、蒙特卡洛模拟及统计方法。结果在上海市生食被副溶血性弧菌污染的三文鱼片致病的发病概率1-2月、 3 5月、6 8月、9-11月分别为8.00×10“、6.23×10“、4.14×10“、8.71×10“,敏感度分析显示6-11月生食 三文鱼中的副溶血性弧茵的污染量对发病概率影响最大。结论 上海市生食三文鱼片副溶血性弧菌污染存在比 较小的健康风险,夏、秋季控制生食三文鱼片中的副溶血性弧菌的污染量是减少健康风险的关键。

    Abstract:

    Objective To assess the risk of Vibrio parahaemob'ticus in raw salmon slic.es in Shanghai, China. Methods The risk assessment of V. parah,aemolyticu..s followed the risk assessment structure of WHO/FAO, involving hazard identification, hazard characterization, exposure assessment, and risk characterization. The data for hazard identification and hazard characterization were obtained from published scientific literatures and reports. Monitoring, dietary survey, growth rate model, adjustment fac:tors, Beta-Poisson dose-response model, Monte Carlo siruulations and statistical methods were applied. Results Preclicted prohability of incidence associated with the consumption of raw salmon slices contaminated by V. parah.aemolyticus in Shanghai residents in Jan-Feb, March-May, June-August and Sep-Nov were 8. 00 x 10 -7, 6. 23 x 10'7 , 4. 14 x 10 -6 and 8. 71 x 10 -6, respectively. Sensitivity analysis showed that the level of V. parah,aemolyticus in raw salmon slices from June to Nov was the most influential factor to the probability of illness. Conclusion The health risk of raw salmon slices contaminated by V. parah,aemolyticu..s in Shanghai was low. Controlling the level of V. parahaem,olyticus in raw salmon slices m summer and autumn is the key approach to reduce its health risk.

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刘弘,罗宝章,秦璐昕,顾其芳,吴春峰,袁微嘉.生食三文鱼片副溶血性弧菌污染的定量风险评估研究[J].中国食品卫生杂志,2012,24(1):18-26.

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