定量微生物风险评估发展方向共识
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1.上海理工大学,上海 200093;2.浙江大学,浙江 杭州 310058;3.福建农林大学,福建 福州 350002;4.上海交通大学,上海 200240;5.中国计量大学,浙江 杭州 310018;6.广东海洋大学,广东 湛江 524088;7.武汉轻工大学,湖北 武汉 430023;8.国家食品安全风险评估中心,北京 100022;9.浙江省农业科学院,浙江 杭州 310021;10.上海海洋大学,上海 201306

作者简介:

董庆利 男 教授 研究方向为食品微生物安全 E-mail:qdong@usst.edu.cn

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R155

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Consensus on the directions for development in quantitative microbial risk assessment
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1.University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China;2.Zhejiang University, Zhejiang Hangzhou 310058, China;3.Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fujian Fuzhou 350002, China;4.Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China;5.China Jiliang University, Zhejiang Hangzhou 310018, China;6.Guangdong Ocean University, Guangdong Zhanjiang 524088, China;7.Wuhan Polytechnic University, Hubei Wuhan 430023, China;8.China National Center for Food Safety Risk Assessment, Beijing 100022, China;9.Zhejiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Zhejiang Hangzhou 310021, China;10.Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, China

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    摘要:

    近年来国内外食品安全定量微生物风险评估(QMRA)发展迅速。QMRA综合多学科理论知识和技术方法,定量评估暴露于病原微生物所产生的人类健康风险,并为风险管理和风险交流提供科学依据。QMRA经典框架包括危害识别、危害特征描述、暴露评估和风险特征描述4个步骤,当前,抽样统计、预测微生物建模、微生物毒理、计算模拟、生物信息学等已成为研究热点,如何通过跨学科方法整合多源数据,提高评估结果的准确性和可靠性是QMRA发展的关键。未来,QMRA在数据、模型、算法等方面仍存在诸多技术难题,与人工智能、微生物多组学、生物信息学、合成生物学、系统生物学、计算生物学等领域的交叉融合是重点研究方向,以实现在食品安全和公共卫生领域发挥更大作用。

    Abstract:

    In recent years, quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA) for food safety has developed rapidly both domestically and internationally. QMRA integrates multidisciplinary theoretical knowledge and technical methodologies to quantitatively assess the human health risks associated with exposure to pathogenic microorganisms and provides a scientific basis for risk management and risk communication. The classic framework of QMRA includes four steps: hazard identification, hazard characterization, exposure assessment, and risk characterization. Currently, research hotspots include sampling statistics, predictive microbiological modeling, microbial toxicology, computational simulation, and bioinformatics. The key to the development of QMRA lies in how to integrate multi-source data through interdisciplinary approaches to improve the accuracy and reliability of assessment results. In the future, QMRA still faces many technical challenges in terms of data, models, and algorithms. The interdisciplinary integration with other fields such as artificial intelligence, microbial multiomics, bioinformatics, synthetic biology, systems biology, and computational biology will be the focus of research directions, aiming to play a greater role in the fields of food safety and public health.

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董庆利,丁甜,方婷,李长城,廖新浴,刘阳泰,施春雷,汪雯,王军,王翔,王宏勋,王晔茹,王彝白纳,肖兴宁,徐进,张昭寰,赵勇.定量微生物风险评估发展方向共识[J].中国食品卫生杂志,2025,37(5):407-411.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-12-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-08-20
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